|Bookies Predict Uphill Battle For Local MPs|
Mary Macleod and Angie Bray fighting for political life
If the bookies are right, the two sitting local Tory MPs, Mary Macleod and Angie Bray, have a big fight on their hands to avoid political defeat in next Thursday's poll.
Paddy Power bookmakers is offering odds of 1/7 on a Labour victory in Brentford & Isleworth with Conservative odds at 4/1 for Chiswick-based Mary Macleod and the Lib Dems at 66/1. Odds for the Green Party and UKIP are 100/1.
And for Ealing Central and Acton, currently represented by Angie Bray MP, the odds are Labour (Rupa Huq) 4/6 to win, followed by Angie Bray at 11/10, the Lib Dems at 50/1 and UKIP and the Green Party at 100/1.
Residents will be able to vote at their registered polling station between 7am and 10pm on Thursday, 7 May.
Chiswickw4.com will be covering the election and will bring the results to our readers as soon as they come in from the Count Centres. The voting will start as soon as the ballot boxes are opened, late on Thursday night and a result for Brentford & Isleworth is expected in the early hours of the morning.
Despite the odds quoted, Labour's Ruth Cadbury is continuing to campaign hard and she told chiswickw4.com; "None of us are taking this election for granted and we will continue talking to the voters right up to the close of poll."
She said she and her team were out all day every day talking to voters and added that "there is a real sense now that people want a change...It’s also been heartening to hear many residents say they’re voting for me because of the work I've done as a Councillor in this borough for over 20 years."
Ruth Cadbury supporting the postal vote
Mary Macleod, who was campaigning in Hounslow with Samantha Cameron and Boris Johnson on Friday, said it was "the most important election in a generation". Every vote would count and she wanted to build on the last five years, she said. She has a majority of just 3.6%, fewer than 2,000 votes, and won her seat five years ago from Labour candidate Ann Keen who suffered as a result of the MPs expenses scandal.
Perhaps the most important change since the 2010 election in Brentford & Isleworth is the decline in the Liberal Democrat vote but Lib Dem candidate Joe Bourke is hopeful that he will come in third place.
Will Mary Macleod be raising a glass next week? Pictured with Sec of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Liz Truss at Fuller's.
One informed local political source said that it was possible that Labou might gain 40% of the vote in Brentford & Isleworth, with strong backing expected from the Asian community at the Hounslow end of the constituency. Mary Macleod's core base in Chiswick is likely to remain loyal and she has been campaigning hard outside the Chiswick area with visits by high-powered Tory names including Prime Minister David Cameron ( twice, to Brentford and Isleworth), Boris Johnson (to Chiswick and Brentford) and Samantha Cameron (to Hounslow) on hand to lend support. Other high powered ministers also visited the constituency.
Here is a reminder of the state of play last time-
Candidates in the 2015 election for Brentford & Isleworth are:
Joseph Bourke (Liberal Democrat), Ruth Cadbury (Labour), Daniel Goldsmith (Green Party ), Richard Hendron (UKIP), Mary Macleod (Conservative)
Ealing Central and Acton Candidates
This seat was newly created in 2010 replacing Ealing Acton and Shepherd's Bush. Previously held by Labour, it became a tight three-way marginal and in 2010 was won by Angie Bray from the Conservatives with a 3,716 majority.
May 2, 2015