Under Starter's Orders for Elections in Chiswick |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Candidates contesting May's vote for borough councils officially announced
April 11, 2026 With the full list of candidate nomination now officially declared, the starter’s gun has fired for the May borough elections. Chiswick is covered by four wards, three in the borough of Hounslow and one in Ealing. It is currently represented by seven Conservative councillors, two Labour (one of whom defected from the Conservatives) and three Liberal Democrats. The following analysis is largely based on polling carried out by Pollcheck, an organisation that publishes ward level predictions. It uses historic voting, recent national polling and demographic data to project results at a local level. This methodology will not take account of specific local factors such as a councillor’s performance in office and particular issues which are important to local voters. The continuing breakdown of the two-party system has made the situation much more complex therefore any projections should be seen as speculative. One thing that the political parties across the spectrum agree on is that the result of this election is uniquely difficult to call. Pollcheck is currently predicting that Chiswick Riverside is going to be the closest fought ward in the borough of Hounslow. Previously a solidly Conservative district, boundary changes introduced before the last election led to a Labour candidate, Amy Croft, winning a seat. She is defending her place on the council along with the two Conservative incumbents Gabriella Giles and Peter Thompson. However, polling suggests that the Greens will post the main challenge to the Conservatives with just a 0.1% difference in vote share. Both Green candidates standing, Rick Rowe and Muddassir Syed, are being predicted to take a seat with the Conservatives taking the third available. However, this projection does come with the caveat that the ward is ‘too close to call’. Reform is shown as finishing third with 15.9% of the vote. Chiswick Riverside Projection
Chiswick Homefields is predicted to be the sixth most marginal ward in the borough with the Conservatives having a 9.6 percentage point lead over the Greens in second place. With just two Green candidates contesting the three seats, the projection is that they would take one. This ward is currently represented by two veteran councillors, John Todd and Gerald McGregor, who are stepping down at this election with Jack Emsley defending the remaining seat. The last time a non-Conservative councillor represented this ward was when Pat Sterne won a seat for Labour there in 1998.
Chiswick Gunnersbury is projected to be the safest seat for the Tories in the borough with a percentage point advantage of 15.8 over the Liberal Democrats who are shown as coming second. Cllrs Joanna Biddolph and Ron Mushiso are standing again joined by Vickram Grewal who was elected as a Labour councillor at the last election before switching parties.
There are 267 candidates in total, standing across 22 wards in the Borough of Hounslow. The number for each party is 62 for Labour, 62 for Reform UK, 61 for the Conservatives, 39 for the Liberal Democrats, 26 for the Green Party, five Independents, three for Hounslow Independents, three for Brentford & Isleworth Independents, three for Heston Independents, two for the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition, and one for Brentford Independents. Pollcheck gives just a 4% chance of Labour losing control of the council and is projecting it to win 47 seats, with the Conservatives on 9, Greens on 3, Reform taking two and an independent holding onto a seat in Syon and Brentford Lock. 31 seats are required to have control of the council. In Ealing borough, Southfield ward, which covers the northern part of Chiswick, is rated as the least likely to change hands with the incumbent Liberal Democrats, Gary Malcolm, Andrew Steed and Gary Busuttil, projected to take nearly 60% of the vote. Their party is expected to increase its representation further with gains in Ealing Common and Hanger Hill with the Greens picking up seats in Northfield and Hanwell Broadway wards but this would not be sufficient to make much of a dent in the Labour majority and only a 1% chance has been given for a change of control.
Register to vote The elections will take place on Thursday 7 May. Residents who have not yet registered to vote have until midnight on Monday 20 April to do so at www.gov.uk/registertovote Can’t get to the polling station? Anyone who is registered to vote can apply to have their ballot paper sent to them in the post. The deadline to apply for a postal vote, or to send written notification of changes to an existing postal or proxy arrangement, is 5pm on Tuesday 21 April. Residents who wish to apply for someone to vote on their behalf, must submit a new proxy vote application. The deadline to apply for a proxy vote is 5pm on Tuesday 28 April.
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||